The Week Ahead 6/8/25
Hello All,
I hope you all are enjoying the weekend and getting some time away from the screens & have had a good ‘25 thus far & I wish you all a successful remainder of Q2.
Looking back at this past week, it was a bit of sporadic one in regard to news flows as initially, indices quickly declined earlier on in the week following the Ukraine drone attack on Russia over this past weekend which ended up getting quickly bought & as the week progressed, we received more positive comments & progression between the U.S. & China following Trump’s phone call with Xi & then we finally had the Trump & Elon fallout as Trump wants his Big Beautiful Bill pushed through whereas Elon wants to cut spending & more so wants a ‘Slim’ Beautiful Bill… & finally to round off the week, NFP #’s came in better than feared which led the indices to close out the week at the highs & small-caps ended up being the best performing of the indices as IWM closed higher by 300bps whereas the Dow was the laggard on the week although still closed out higher by 160bps.
- Economic Data for the Coming Week:
In regard to economic data into the upcoming week, it’s a relatively quiet week ahead although we do have the meeting between the U.S. & China in London on Monday, but otherwise, the biggest event of the week is CPI #’s on Wednesday in which both headline & core are expected to rise slightly from the prior month.
- STD Channels on Indices for Perspective: Weekly TF
- SPY
- QQQ
- IWM
- DJIA
Since starting this Substack back in June of ‘23, between individual names / tactical trades / baskets, we have netted a 125.58% return whilst in the same period, the Q's have returned 49.85% / Spooz has returned 42.15% / Dow has returned 31.14% & Small-caps have returned 19.87%, so nice outperformance against all the indices whilst having a 80.5% win rate, averaging a 21.75% return on realized gains / winners & a 14.48% loss on realized losses / losers.
Looking forward to the future as we continue to progress through ‘25.
Just over a month ago, we wrote about hard assets & the structural framework behind hard assets given recent events & future outlook along with some historical perspective as well… you can check it out below for those whom may have missed.
Hard Assets in an Era of Soft Money
As global central banks quietly rearm their stimulus arsenals and fiscal deficits spiral past the point of discipline, the foundations of the global monetary order are beginning to crack. Amid this shift, one question looms larger than ever: Are we on the verge of a new commodity supercycle?
We also published the follow up educational piece which has been highly requested and majority of the topics covered were all suggested by you all, so I hope you find good benefit.
For those who may have missed, a link to Educational Piece Part: Deux can be found here.
For those who may have missed the first educational piece, I included the range of topics covered below along with a link to the piece for those who would like to go back and read:
- General background / knowledge on all option strategies
- In-depth talk on risk / reversals & how to go about expressing / utilizing them
- Options Structuring
- When to used naked calls / puts vs. spreads
- Choosing expiration dates
- Identifying key pivots / supports / resistance zones
- General briefing on stock gaps
- What to look for in regards to fundamentals
- Implementing fundamental / macro / technicals into a trade
- Hedging
- Creating risk/reward setups
- Taking profits / managing losses
- Overall Process
- Book recommendations
A link to the first educational write-up can be found here.